Research Topic C-2 "Climate Change, Predictions, and Economy" addresses two major themes that require integration across scales as well as across a large set of CliSAP-disciplines in dealing with climate, geography, agriculture, economy, and security. Both themes aim at creating strategic input for future climate negotiations.
The theme Consistent decadal climate and economic predictions and projections investigates consistent mitigation scenarios, while the theme Impact chains activated through hydrological changes deals with climate change impacts in two of the largest emerging economies, China and India. Because these two countries play crucial roles in climate negotiations aimed at mitigation, our two themes cross-fertilize each other in their interplay of climate change adaption and mitigation aspects.
- Peters, K., Crueger, T., Jakob, C., & Moebis, B. (2017). Improved MJO-simulation in ECHAM6.3 by coupling a stochastic multicloud model to the convection scheme. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, early view, available online. doi:10.1002/2016MS000809.
- Rasche, L., Schneider, U., Bolivar Lobato, M., Sos del Diego, R., & Stacke, T. (2016). Benefits of Coordinated Water Resource System Planning in the Cauca-Magdalena River Basin. Water Economics and Policy, 1650034. doi:10.1142/S2382624X1650034X.
- Trapp, N., Schneider, U., McCallum, I., Fritz, S., Schill, C., Borzacchiello, M., Heumesser, C., & Craglia, M. (2015). A Meta-Analysis on the Return on Investment of Geospatial Data and Systems: A Multi-Country Perspective. Transactions in GIS, 19, 169-187. doi:10.1111/tgis.12091.
- Choi, H. S., Schneider, U. A., Rasche, L., Cui, J., Schmid, E., & Held, H. (2015). Potential effects of perfect seasonal climate forecasting on agricultural markets, welfare and land use: A case study of Spain. Agricultural Systems, 133, 177-189. doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2014.10.007.