Research Topic C-2 "Climate Change, Predictions, and Economy" addresses two major themes that require integration across scales as well as across a large set of CliSAP-disciplines in dealing with climate, geography, agriculture, economy, and security. Both themes aim at creating strategic input for future climate negotiations.
The theme Consistent decadal climate and economic predictions and projections investigates consistent mitigation scenarios, while the theme Impact chains activated through hydrological changes deals with climate change impacts in two of the largest emerging economies, China and India. Because these two countries play crucial roles in climate negotiations aimed at mitigation, our two themes cross-fertilize each other in their interplay of climate change adaption and mitigation aspects.
- Karki, R., Hasson, S., Gerlitz, L., Talchabhadel, R., Schenk, E., Schickhoff, U., Scholten, T., & Böhner, J. (2018). WRF-based simulation of an extreme precipitation event over the Central Himalayas: Atmospheric mechanisms and their representation by microphysics parameterization schemes. Atmospheric Research, 214, 21-35. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.07.016.
- Jamshidi, O., Asadi, A., Kalantari, K., Azadi, H., & Scheffran, J. (in press). Vulnerability to climate change of smallholder farmers in the Hamadan province, Iran. Climate Risk Management. doi:10.1016/j.crm.2018.06.002.
- Rasche, L., Schneider, U., Bolivar Lobato, M., Sos del Diego, R., & Stacke, T. (2018). Benefits of coordinated water resource system planning in the Cauca-Magdalena River Basin. Water Economics and Policy, 4: 1650034. doi:10.1142/S2382624X1650034X.