A3: Climate Sensitivity and Sea Level

Sea level variability and change are topics of vital concern to coastal populations, and require a variety of interdisciplinary research efforts. Sea level evolves in response to changes in the Earth’s heat budget and the hydrological cycle, including the addition of freshwater from melting land ice. We investigate the causes and consequences of global and regional changes in sea level on time scales from decades to centuries, and determine the impact of climate sensitivity on sea level changes and the additional effects of the solid earth and ice processes.


Sea level research is interdisciplinary and involves expertise from natural and social science. It focuses on causes of global to regional sea level changes, and their consequences and implications.

Sea surface height change: 1986-2100 in meters
Coastal sea level rise in 2100

1. Mechanisms and sources of regional sea level change and variability

We investigate mechanisms and sources of regional sea level change and variability as functions of space and time scales, and its relation to climate sensitivity, oceanic and atmospheric heat transports, and ocean heat uptake.

2. Natural and anthropogenic modes of sea level variability and change

We separate natural and anthropogenic modes of sea level variability and change, using ocean reconstructions and climate models.

3. Influence of the cryosphere on the ocean circulation and associated sea level changes

We investigate the influence of freshwater entering from the cryosphere on the ocean circulation and associated sea level changes.

4. The North and Baltic Sea, small islands and vulnerable regions

We study regional sea level changes and consequences in the North Sea and the Baltic in terms of coastal protection, socioeconomic and security impacts.

Latest A3 Publications

  • Stammer, D., & Griffies, S. M. (2017). Ocean Modeling and Data Assimilation in the Context of Satellite Altimetry. In D. Stammer, & A. Cazenave (Eds.), Satellite Altimetry Over Oceans and Land Surfaces. Boca Raton, FL: Taylor & Francis.
  • Stammer, D., & Cazenave, A. (2017). Satellite altimetry over oceans and land surfaces. Boca Raton, FL: Taylor & Francis.
  • Karabil, S. (2017). Influence of Atmospheric Circulation on the Baltic Sea Level Rise under the RCP8.5 Scenario over the 21st Century. Climate, 5: 71. doi:10.3390/cli5030071.
  • Moreno-Chamarro, E., Zanchettin, D., Lohmann, K., Luterbacher, J., & Jungclaus, J. H. (2017). Winter amplification of the European Little Ice Age cooling by the subpolar gyre. Scientific Reports, 7: 9981. doi:10.1038/s41598-017-07969-0.
  • Liu, X., Köhl, A., & Stammer, D. (2017). Dynamical ocean response to projected changes of the global water cycle. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 122, 1-22. doi:10.1002/2017JC013061.