Research Topic C-2 "Climate Change, Predictions, and Economy" addresses two major themes that require integration across scales as well as across a large set of CliSAP-disciplines in dealing with climate, geography, agriculture, economy, and security. Both themes aim at creating strategic input for future climate negotiations.
The theme Consistent decadal climate and economic predictions and projections investigates consistent mitigation scenarios, while the theme Impact chains activated through hydrological changes deals with climate change impacts in two of the largest emerging economies, China and India. Because these two countries play crucial roles in climate negotiations aimed at mitigation, our two themes cross-fertilize each other in their interplay of climate change adaption and mitigation aspects.
- Jahanifar, K., Amirnejad, H., Azadi, H., Adenle, A., & Scheffran, J. (2019). Economic analysis of land use changes in forests and rangelands: Developing conservation strategies. Land Use Policy, 88: 104003. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.05.022.
- Hasson, S., Böhner, J., & Chishtie, F. (2019). Low fidelity of CORDEX and their driving experiments indicates future climatic uncertainty over Himalayan watersheds of Indus basin. Climate Dynamics, 52, 777-798. doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4160-0.
- Karki, R., Hasson, S., Gerlitz, L., Talchabhadel, R., Schenk, E., Schickhoff, U., Scholten, T., & Böhner, J. (2018). WRF-based simulation of an extreme precipitation event over the Central Himalayas: Atmospheric mechanisms and their representation by microphysics parameterization schemes. Atmospheric Research, 214, 21-35. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.07.016.