CliSAP successfully finished in 2018. Climate research continues in the Cluster of Excellence "CLICCS".

All Research Group Publications

  • Koul, V., Tesdal, J.-E., Bersch, M., Hátún, H., Brune, S., Borchert, L., Haak, H., Schrum, C., & Baehr, J. (2020). Unraveling the choice of the north Atlantic subpolar gyre index. Scientific Reports, 10: 1005. doi:10.1038/s41598-020-57790-5.
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  • Neddermann, N.-C., Müller, W. A., Dobrynin, M., Düsterhus, A., & Baehr, J. (2019). Seasonal predictability of European summer climate re-assessed. Climate Dynamics, 53, 3039-3056. doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04678-4.
  • Ghosh, R., Müller, W. A., Eichhorn, A., Baehr, J., & Bader, J. (2019). Atmospheric pathway between Atlantic multidecadal variability and European summer temperature in the atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM6. Climate Dynamics, 53, 209-224. doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4578-4.
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  • Scaife, A., Ferranti, L., Alves, O., Athanasiadis, P., Baehr, J., Dequé, M., Dippe, T., Dunstone, N., Fereday, D., Gudgel, R., Greatbatch, R., Hermanson, L., Imada, Y., Jain, S., Kumar, A., MacLachlan, C., Merryfield, W., Müller, W. A., Ren, H.-L., Smith, D., Takaya, Y., Vecchi, G., & Yang, X. (2019). Tropical rainfall predictions from multiple seasonal forecast systems. International Journal of Climatology, 39, 974-988. doi:10.1002/joc.5855.
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  • Wiegand, K. N., Brune, S., & Baehr, J. (2019). Predictability of Multiyear Trends of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in an MPI-ESM Hindcast Ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 318-325. doi:10.1029/2018GL080661.
  • Brune, S., Düsterhus, A., Pohlmann, H., Müller, W. A., & Baehr, J. (2018). Time dependency of the prediction skill for the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in initialized decadal hindcasts. Climate Dynamics, 51, 1947-1970. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3991-4.
  • Borchert, L., Müller, W. A., & Baehr, J. (2018). Atlantic Ocean heat transport influences interannual-to-decadal surface temperature predictability in the North Atlantic region. Journal of Climate, 31, 6763-6782. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0734.1.
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  • Müller, W. A., Jungclaus, J. H., Mauritsen, T., Baehr, J., Bittner, M., Budich, R. G., Bunzel, F., Esch, M., Ghosh, R., Haak, H., Ilyina, T., Kleinen, T., Kornblueh, L., Li, H., Modali, K., Notz, D., Pohlmann, H., Roeckner, E., Stemmler, I., Tian, F., & Marotzke, J. (2018). A higher-resolution version of the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM 1.2 - HR). Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10, 1383 -1413. doi:10.1029/2017MS001217.
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  • Dobrynin, M., Domeisen, D., Müller, W. A., Bell, L., Brune, S., Bunzel, F., Fröhlich, C., Pohlmann, H., & Baehr, J. (2018). Improved teleconnection-based dynamical seasonal predictions of boreal winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 3605-3614. doi:10.1002/2018GL077209.
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  • Link, M., Borchert, L., Süsser, D., & von Prondzinski, P. (2018). Coast to coast: current multidisciplinary research trends in German coastal and marine geography. Journal of Coastal Conservation, 22(Spec. Iss.), 1-4. doi:10.1007/s11852-017-0578-5.
  • Link, M., Borchert, L., Süsser, D., & von Prondzinski, P. (Eds.). (2018). Coast to coast: current multidisciplinary research trends in German coastal and marine geography [Special Issue]. Journal of Coastal Conservation, 22(1). Retrieved from https://link.springer.com/journal/11852/22/1/page/1.
  • Bunzel, F., Müller, W. A., Dobrynin, M., Fröhlich, K., Hagemann, S., Pohlmann, H., Stacke, T., & Baehr, J. (2018). Improved seasonal prediction of European summer temperatures with new five-layer soil-hydrology scheme. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 346-353. doi:10.1002/2017GL076204.
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  • Fischer, M., Domeisen, D., Müller, W. A., & Baehr, J. (2017). Changes in the seasonal cycle of the Atlantic meridional heat transport in a RCP 8.5 climate projection in MPI-ESM. Earth System Dynamics, 8, 129-146. doi:10.5194/esd-8-129-2017.
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  • Romanova, V., Hense, A., Wahl, S., Brune, S., & Baehr, J. (2017). Skill assessment of different ensemble generation schemes for retrospective predictions of surface freshwater fluxes on inter and multi-annual timescales. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, available online. doi:10.1127/metz/2017/0790.
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  • Müller, V., Pohlmann, H., Düsterhus, A., Matei, D., Marotzke, J., Müller, W. A., Zeller, M., & Baehr, J. (2017). Hindcast skill for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N within two MPI-ESM decadal climate prediction systems. Climate Dynamics, 49, 2975-2990. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3482-z.
  • Badin, G., & Domeisen, D. (2016). Nonlinear stratospheric variability: multifractal de-trended fluctuation analysis and singularity spectra. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 472(2191). doi:10.1098/rspa.2015.0864.
  • Butler, A., Arribas, A., Athanassiadou, M., Baehr, J., Calvo, N., Charlton-Perez, A., Déqué, M., Domeisen, D., Fröhlich, K., Hendon, H., Imada, Y., Ishii, M., Iza, M., Karpechko, A., Kumar, A., Maclachlan, C., Merryfield, W., Müller, W. A., O'Neill, A., Scaife, A., Scinocca, J., Sigmond, M., Stockdale, T., & Yasuda, T. (2016). The Climate-system Historical Forecast Project: Do stratosphere-resolving models make better seasonal climate predictions in boreal winter? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142, 1413-1427. doi:10.1002/qj.2743.
  • Bunzel, F., Notz, D., Baehr, J., Müller, W. A., & Fröhlich, K. (2016). Seasonal climate forecasts significantly affected by observational uncertainty of Arctic sea ice concentration. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 852-859. doi:10.1002/2015GL066928.
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  • Dobrynin, M., Murawski, J., Baehr, J., & Ilyina, T. (2015). Detection and attribution of climate change signal in ocean wind waves. Journal of Climate, 28, 1578-1591. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00664.1.
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  • Domeisen, D., Butler, A., Fröhlich, K., Bittner, M., Mueller, W. A., & Baehr, J. (2015). Seasonal predictability over Europe arising from El Niño and stratospheric variability in the MPI-ESM seasonal prediction system. Journal of Climate, 28, 256-271. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00207.1.
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  • Baehr, J., Fröhlich, K., Botzet, M., Domeisen, D., Kornblueh, L., Notz, D., Piontek, R., Pohlmann, H., Tietsche, S., & Müller, W. A. (2015). The prediction of surface temperature in the new seasonal prediction system based on the MPI-ESM coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 44, 2723-2735. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2399-7.
  • Tiedje, B., & Baehr, J. (2014). Limitations of the potential predictability of meridional mass and heat transports in the North Atlantic. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 4270-4276. doi:10.1002/2014GL060174.
  • Müller, W. A., Baehr, J., Haak, H., Jungclaus, J. H., Kröger, J., Matei, D., Notz, D., Pohlmann, H., von Storch, J. S., & Marotzke, J. (2012). Forecast skill of multi-year seasonal means in the decadal prediction system of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. Geophysical Research Letters, 39: L22707. doi:10.1029/2012GL053326.
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Related Publications (CliSAP 1, 2007-2012)

  • Müller, W. A., Baehr, J., Haak, H., Jungclaus, J. H., Kröger, J., Matei, D., Notz, D., Pohlmann, H., von Storch, J. S., & Marotzke, J. (2012). Forecast skill of multi-year seasonal means in the decadal prediction system of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. Geophysical Research Letters, 39: L22707. doi:10.1029/2012GL053326.
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  • Matei, D., Baehr, J., Jungclaus, J. H., Haak, H., Mueller, W. A., & Marotzke, J. (2012). Multiyear Prediction of Monthly Mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5 degrees N. Science, 335(6064), 76-79. doi:10.1126/science.1210299.
  • Baehr, J. (2011). Detecting changes in the meridional overturning circulation at 26°N in the Atlantic from observations. Deep-Sea Research Part II-Topical Studies in Oceanography, 58, 17-18. doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.10.062.