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Universität Hamburg, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN)

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Research interests

Scientific activities in climate dynamics, applied mathematics and statistical physics with a strong emphasis on interdisciplinary activities

CliSAP Publications

  • Gritsun, A., & Lucarini, V. (2017). Fluctuations, response, and resonances in a simple atmospheric model. Physical D-Nonlinear Phnomena, 349, 62-76. doi:10.1016/j.physd.2017.02.015.
  • Lucarini, V., Ragone, F., & Lunkeit, F. (2017). Predicting Climate Change Using Response Theory: Global Averages and Spatial Patterns. SI, 166(3-4), 1036-1064. doi:10.1007/s10955-016-1506-z.
  • Bathiany, S., Lucarini, V., von der Heydt, A., Dijkstra, H. A., van de Wal, R. S. W., Caballero, R., Crucifix, M., Foster, G. L., Huber, M., Köhler, P., Rohling, E., Valdes, P. J., Ashwin, P., Berends, T., van Bree, L. G. J., Ditlevsen, P., Ghil, M., Haywood, A. M., Katzav, J., Lohmann, G., Lohmann, J., Marzocchi, A., Pälike, H., Ruvalcaba Baroni, I., Simon, D., Sluijs, A., Stap, L. B., Tantet, A., Viebahn, J., & Ziegler, M. (2016). Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports, 2, 148-158. doi:10.1007/s40641-016-0049-3.
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  • Schubert, S., & Lucarini, V. (2016). Dynamical analysis of blocking events: spatial and temporal fluctuations of covariant Lyapunov vectors. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142, 2143-2158. doi:10.1002/qj.2808.
  • Ul Hasson, S., Pascale, S., Lucarini, V., & Böhner, J. (2016). Seasonal cycle of precipitation over major river basins in South and Southeast Asia: A review of the CMIP5 climate models data for present climate and future climate projections. Atmospheric Research, 180, 42-63. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.05.008.
  • Franzke, C., O'Kane, T. J., Berner, J. B., Williams, P. D., & Lucarini, V. (2015). Stochastic climate theory and modeling. WIREs Climate Change, 6(1), 63-78. doi:10.1002/wcc.318.
  • Pascale, S., Lucarini, V., Feng, X., Porporato, A., & Hasson, S. u. (2015). Analysis of rainfall seasonality from observations and climate models. Climate Dynamics, 44(11), 3281-3301. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2278-2.
  • Hasson, S., Böhner, J., & Lucarini, V. (2015). Prevailing climatic trends and runoff response from Hindukush–Karakoram–Himalaya, upper Indus basin. Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 6, 579-653. doi:10.5194/esdd-6-579-2015.
  • Ragone, F., Lucarini, V., & Lunkeit, F. (2015). A new framework for climate sensitivity and prediction: a modelling perspective. Climate Dynamics, 1-13. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2657-3.
  • Faranda, D., Lucarini, V., Manneville, P., & Wouters, J. (2014). On using extreme values to detect global stability thresholds in multi-stable systems: The case of transitional plane Couette flow. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals, 64, 26-35. doi:10.1016/j.chaos.2014.01.008.
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  • Lucarini, V., Faranda, D., Wouters, J., & Kuna, T. (2014). Towards a General Theory of Extremes for Observables of Chaotic Dynamical Systems. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PHYSICS, 154(3), 723-750. doi:10.1007/s10955-013-0914-6.
  • Hasson, S., Lucarini, V., Pascale, S., & Böhner, J. (2014). Seasonality of the hydrological cycle in major South and Southeast Asian river basins as simulated by PCMDI/CMIP3 experiments. Earth System Dynamics, 5, 67-87. doi:10.5194/esd-5-67-2014.
  • Lucarini, V., & Pascale, S. (2014). Entropy production and coarse graining of the climate fields in a General Circulation Model. Climate Dynamics, 43, 981-1000. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2052-5.
  • Dijkstra, H. A., Wubs, F. W., Cliffe, A. K., Doedel, E., Dragomirescu, I. F., Eckhardt, B., Gelfgat, A. Y., Hazel, A. L., Lucarini, V., Salinger, A. G., Phipps, E. T., Sanchez-Umbria, J., Schuttelaars, H., Tuckerman, L. S., & Thiele, U. (2014). Numerical Bifurcation Methods and their Application to Fluid Dynamics: Analysis beyond Simulation. COMMUNICATIONS IN COMPUTATIONAL PHYSICS, 15(1), 1-45. doi:10.4208/cicp.240912.180613a.
  • Colangeli, M., & Lucarini, V. (2014). Elements of a unified framework for response formulae. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL MECHANICS-THEORY AND EXPERIMENT, P01002. doi:10.1088/1742-5468/2014/01/P01002.
  • Schroeder, A., Lunkeit, F., & Lucarini, V. (2014). Impact of oceanic heat transport on global thermodynamical properties in the climate system. In European Geoscience Union (EGU), General Assembly: Geophysical Research Abstracts (pp. EGU2014-11481-1).
  • Schubert, S., & Lucarini, V. (2014). Statistical mechanics of the baroclinic instability. In European Geoscience Union (EGU), General Assembly: Geophysical Research Abstracts (pp. EGU2014-11663).
  • Knietzsch, M.-A., Lucarini, V., & Lunkeit, F. (2014). The impact of oceanic heat transport on the mean meridional circulation. In European Geoscience Union (EGU), General Assembly: Geophysical Research Abstracts (pp. EGU2014-11602).
  • Hasson, S., Lucarini, V., Khan, M. R., Petitta, M., Bolch, T., & Gioli, G. (2014). Early 21st century snow cover state over the western river basins of the Indus River system. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 4077-4100. doi:10.5194/hess-18-4077-2014.
  • Faranda, D., Freitas, J. M., Lucarini, V., Turchetti, G., & Vaienti, S. (2013). Extreme value statistics for dynamical systems with noise. NONLINEARITY, 26(9), 2597-2622. doi:10.1088/0951-7715/26/9/2597.
  • Pascale, S., Ragone, F., Lucarini, V., Wang, Y., & Boschi, R. (2013). Nonequilibrium thermodynamics of circulation regimes in optically thin, dry atmospheres. PLANETARY AND SPACE SCIENCE, 84, 48-65. doi:10.1016/j.pss.2013.04.014.
  • Wouters, J., & Lucarini, V. (2013). Multi-level Dynamical Systems: Connecting the Ruelle Response Theory and the Mori-Zwanzig Approach. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PHYSICS, 151(5), 850-860. doi:10.1007/s10955-013-0726-8.
  • Pelloni, B., Cullen, M. J. P., & Lucarini, V. (2013). Mathematics of the Fluid Earth. Mathematics Today, April Issue, 80-83.
  • Lucarini, V., Pascale, S., Boschi, R., Kirk, E., & Iro, N. (2013). Habitability and multistability in earth-like planets. Astronomische Nachrichten, 334, 576-588.
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  • Blender, R., & Lucarini, V. (2013). Nambu representation of an extended Lorenz model with viscous heating. PHYSICA D-NONLINEAR PHENOMENA, 243(1), 86-91. doi:10.1016/j.physd.2012.09.007.
  • Blender, R., Wouters, J., & Lucarini, V. (2013). Avalanches, breathers, and flow reversal in a continuous Lorenz-96 model. PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 88(1): 013201. doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.88.013201.
  • Boschi, R., Lucarini, V., & Pascale, S. (2013). Bistability of the climate around the habitable zone: A thermodynamic investigation. ICARUS, 226(2), 1724-1742. doi:10.1016/j.icarus.2013.03.017.
  • Deidda, R., Marrocu, M., Caroletti, G., Pusceddu, G., Langousis, A., Lucarini, V., Puliga, M., & Speranza, A. (2013). Regional climate models' performance in representing precipitation and temperature over selected Mediterranean areas. HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 17(12), 5041-5059. doi:10.5194/hess-17-5041-2013.
  • Lucarini, V. (2013). Modeling complexity: the case of climate science. In U. Gähde, & S. Hartmann (Eds.), Models, Simulations, and the Reduction of Complexity (pp. 229-254). Berlin u.a.: de Gruyter.
  • Hasson, S., Lucarini, V., & Pascale, S. (2013). Hydrological cycle over South and Southeast Asian river basins as simulated by PCMDI/CMIP3 experiments. Earth System Dynamics, 4(2), 199-217. doi:10.5194/esd-4-199-2013.
  • Faranda, D., Lucarini, V., Turchetti, G., & Vaienti, S. (2012). Generalized extreme value distribution parameters as dynamical indicators of stability. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIFURCATION AND CHAOS, 22(11): 1250276. doi:10.1142/S0218127412502768.
  • Lucarini, V., Faranda, D., Turchetti, G., & Vaienti, S. (2012). Extreme value theory for singular measures. CHAOS, 22(2): 023135. doi:10.1063/1.4718935.
  • Lucarini, V., & Colangeli, M. (2012). Beyond the linear fluctuation-dissipation theorem: the role of causality. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL MECHANICS-THEORY AND EXPERIMENT, P05013. doi:10.1088/1742-5468/2012/05/P05013.
  • Lucarini, V., Kuna, T., Wouters, J., & Faranda, D. (2012). Relevance of sampling schemes in light of Ruelle's linear response theory. NONLINEARITY, 25(5), 1311-1327. doi:10.1088/0951-7715/25/5/1311.
  • Lucarini, V., Faranda, D., & Wouters, J. (2012). Universal Behaviour of Extreme Value Statistics for Selected Observables of Dynamical Systems. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PHYSICS, 147(1), 63-73. doi:10.1007/s10955-012-0468-z.
  • Probst, P., Rizzi, R., Tosi, E., Lucarini, V., & Maestri, T. (2012). Total cloud cover from satellite observations and climate models. ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 107, 161-170. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2012.01.005.
  • Wouters, J., & Lucarini, V. (2012). Disentangling multi-level systems: averaging, correlations and memory. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL MECHANICS-THEORY AND EXPERIMENT, P03003. doi:10.1088/1742-5468/2012/03/P03003.
  • Lucarini, V. (2012). Stochastic Perturbations to Dynamical Systems: A Response Theory Approach. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PHYSICS, 146(4), 774-786. doi:10.1007/s10955-012-0422-0.
  • Lucarini, V., Faranda, D., & Willeit, M. (2012). Bistable systems with stochastic noise: virtues and limits of effective one-dimensional Langevin equations. NONLINEAR PROCESSES IN GEOPHYSICS, 19(1), 9-22. doi:10.5194/npg-19-9-2012.
  • Pascale, S., Gregory, J. M., Ambaum, M. H. P., Tailleux, R., & Lucarini, V. (2012). Vertical and horizontal processes in the global atmosphere and the maximum entropy production conjecture. EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS, 3(1), 19-32. doi:10.5194/esd-3-19-2012.
  • Lucarini, V., Fraedrich, K., & Ragone, F. (2011). New Results on the Thermodynamic Properties of the Climate System. JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 68(10), 2438-2458. doi:10.1175/2011JAS3713.1.
  • Zappa, G., Lucarini, V., & Navarra, A. (2011). Baroclinic Stationary Waves in Aquaplanet Models. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68, 1023-1040. doi:0.1175/2011JAS3573.1.
  • Lucarini, V., & Ragone, F. (2011). Energetics of climate models: Net energy balance and meridional enthalpy transport. Reviews of Geophysics, 49(1): RG1001. doi:10.1029/2009RG000323.
  • Lucarini, V., & Sarno, S. (2011). A statistical mechanical approach for the computation of the climatic response to general forcings. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 18(1), 7-28. doi:10.5194/npg-18-7-2011.
  • Faranda, D., Lucarini, V., Turchetti, G. a., & Vaienti, S. (2011). Numerical Convergence of the Block-Maxima Approach to the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution. Journal of Statistical Physics, 143(5), 1156-1180. doi:10.1007/s10955-011-0234-7.
  • Lucarini, V., Fraedrich, K., & Lunkeit, F. (2010). Thermodynamic analysis of snowball Earth hysteresis experiment: Efficiency, entropy production and irreversibility. QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 136(646), 2-11. doi:10.1002/qj.543.
  • Lucarini, V., & Fraedrich, K. (2009). Symmetry breaking, mixing, instability, and low-frequency variability in a minimal Lorenz-like system. PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 80(2): 026313. doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.80.026313.